College Football · resolved market
UConn vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6384b2c55352334cffa7910960d6a45cd017d8acccad0a60962b05cec970a085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuseof UConn, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Syracuse | 70c | 11,710$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.15 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked UConn | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked UConn | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Syracuse | 73c | 7,500$5,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Syracuse | 17c | 3,791$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.58 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UConn | 28c | 3,697$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.1 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Syracuse | 19c | 3,596$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.75 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UConn | 29c | 3,022$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.72 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UConn | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Syracuse | 72c | 2,715$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.04 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked UConn | 27c | 2,691$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UConn | 3c | 2,573$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Syracuse | 71c | 2,422$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.09 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Syracuse | 16c | 1,597$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.42 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Syracuse | 55c | 1,448$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Syracuse | 35c | 1,356$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Syracuse | 71c | 1,289$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed UConn | 25c | 1,114$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Syracuse | 73c | 994.75$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked UConn | 27c | 553$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…5834backed UConn | 62c | 500.8$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Syracuse | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked UConn | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UConn | 52c | 284.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Syracuse | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed UConn | 13c | 273.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Syracuse | 69c | 266.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UConn | 27c | 258.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed UConn | 70c | 258.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UConn | 28c | 236.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked UConn | 27c | 217.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked UConn | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Syracuse | 57c | 193.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…4ea3backed UConn | 31c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Syracuse | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…1e59backed Syracuse | 72c | 150.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…4d9ebacked Syracuse | 67c | 107.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UConn | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Syracuse | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Syracuse | 73c | 90.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed UConn | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Syracuse | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked UConn | 68c | 82.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Syracuse | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…1e28backed Syracuse | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Syracuse | 72c | 69.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked UConn | 75c | 68.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Syracuse | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…fa7abacked Syracuse | 73c | 57.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UConn | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UConn | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Syracuse | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UConn | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed UConn | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed UConn | 30c | 39.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Syracuse | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Syracuse | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Syracuse | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc328…b18bbacked UConn | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Syracuse | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Syracuse | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Syracuse | 71c | 26.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…0770backed Syracuse | 73c | 24.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Syracuse | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…ce11backed Syracuse | 73c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.