College Football · resolved market
Tulane vs. South Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1b1c593f602291d85f360b992ec2481f6dffebbc71e24004d34b2c066da459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Tulane, South Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed South Alabama | 9c | 3,195$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked South Alabama | 21c | 2,779$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.62 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulane | 79c | 1,990$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.89 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed South Alabama | 28c | 1,384$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.02 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tulane | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked South Alabama | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Tulane | 79c | 974$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.54 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tulane | 80c | 710.95$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Alabama | 6c | 670$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked South Alabama | 18c | 605.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Tulane | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed South Alabama | 21c | 600$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Alabama | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Alabama | 20c | 507.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Tulane | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed South Alabama | 48c | 261.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulane | 73c | 229.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed South Alabama | 7c | 184$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked South Alabama | 19c | 125.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked South Alabama | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked South Alabama | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Alabama | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked South Alabama | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed South Alabama | 19c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked South Alabama | 18c | 87.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed Tulane | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed South Alabama | 23c | 62.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked South Alabama | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Tulane | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Tulane | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…c167backed Tulane | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane vs. South Alabamathis page
- Spread: Tulane (-10.5)South Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.