College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71944e3faf23206092f21f1f9ea093121f0aa218f39924241d4c8f14af9c4ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentuckyof Louisiana Tech, Western Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Western Kentucky | 52c | 73,419$37,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,466.23 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Western Kentucky | 49c | 66,355$32,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,961 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Louisiana Tech | 48c | 41,450$19,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,864.62 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Louisiana Tech | 53c | 36,433$19,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,233.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Louisiana Tech | 57c | 24,126$13,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,751.58 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Louisiana Tech | 52c | 24,000$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Louisiana Tech | 48c | 22,426$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisiana Tech | 49c | 20,413$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.49 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Western Kentucky | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Western Kentucky | 50c | 5,387$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.37 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Louisiana Tech | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Western Kentucky | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Western Kentucky | 49c | 3,201$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.01 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky | 47c | 1,956$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.3 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Western Kentucky | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana Tech | 36c | 1,465$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Western Kentucky | 50c | 1,316$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.5 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 1,315$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.22 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Western Kentucky | 68c | 1,038$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Louisiana Tech | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Western Kentucky | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Western Kentucky | 52c | 754$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Western Kentucky | 50c | 693$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Louisiana Tech | 50c | 693$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Louisiana Tech | 51c | 640.41$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Louisiana Tech | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Louisiana Tech | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Louisiana Tech | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Western Kentucky | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Louisiana Tech | 56c | 63.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Western Kentucky | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Louisiana Tech | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…f6adbacked Louisiana Tech | 50c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Kentucky | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Western Kentucky | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Louisiana Tech | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Louisiana Tech | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Louisiana Tech | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Louisiana Tech | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…3ba6backed Western Kentucky | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Western Kentucky | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-3.5)this page
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.