College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. UL Monroe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47556ad5e6605f9ec65230972a34be8dd4e1517e903c14317a7ec21530bf94c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troyof Troy, UL Monroe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed UL Monroe | 36c | 44,155$15,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,854.42 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Troy | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Troy | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Troy | 63c | 6,693$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.27 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…ac08backed UL Monroe | 36c | 6,210$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Troy | 67c | 5,947$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.29 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Troy | 64c | 5,450$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UL Monroe | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UL Monroe | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…a199backed Troy | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…fc27backed Troy | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Troy | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UL Monroe | 19c | 1,464$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UL Monroe | 34c | 1,431$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy | 64c | 1,393$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.55 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…2efbbacked UL Monroe | 36c | 1,379$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Troy | 65c | 1,379$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Troy | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UL Monroe | 38c | 1,200$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked UL Monroe | 36c | 1,004$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.37 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Troy | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed UL Monroe | 36c | 974.45$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Troy | 64c | 973$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Troy | 64c | 870$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Troy | 65c | 832$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Troy | 64c | 605$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…7879backed Troy | 65c | 510$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UL Monroe | 13c | 457$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Troy | 64c | 306.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Troy | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Troy | 66c | 288$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed UL Monroe | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Troy | 65c | 156.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Troy | 76c | 152.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UL Monroe | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UL Monroe | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UL Monroe | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Troy | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UL Monroe | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…7e55backed UL Monroe | 11c | 124.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Troy | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Troy | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…6c7cbacked Troy | 63c | 81.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Troy | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Troy | 71c | 70.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked UL Monroe | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UL Monroe | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…8eacbacked UL Monroe | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Troy | 63c | 50.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…9282backed Troy | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Troy | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Troy | 67c | 45.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked UL Monroe | 31c | 39.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…3f15backed Troy | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked UL Monroe | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Troy | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked UL Monroe | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Troy | 64c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…890fbacked Troy | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…9daabacked UL Monroe | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…775cbacked Troy | 64c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8357backed Troy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. UL Monroethis page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Troy (-4.5)Troy won
- Troy vs. UL Monroe: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.