WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab56f10e4bd5965be6bf8894baa7aa89e528691903e0ce6782203059cc70ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Wings, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 20c | 4,445$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.04 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 18c | 4,247$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.9 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 21c | 1,961$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.69 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 79c | 1,790$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 79c | 1,301$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wings | 17c | 942.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 25c | 938.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 18c | 799.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 78c | 603.19$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Aces | 80c | 581.25$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 21c | 476.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Wings | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wings | 9c | 411.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wings | 11c | 395.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces | 79c | 354$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Aces | 79c | 349.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 76c | 325.37$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Aces | 79c | 314$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wings | 16c | 301.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wings | 16c | 178.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…27e8backed Wings | 12c | 172.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wings | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Wings | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Wings | 18c | 97.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wings | 17c | 96.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wings | 11c | 95.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Wings | 22c | 92.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Aces | 79c | 81.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Wings | 19c | 55.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…e5eebacked Wings | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…3bcbbacked Aces | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.