Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e2d9d758e5b7966c603b41d5a8658e6cc246bb8e449196d8c5c7967025cb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 6,020$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 896.61$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 73c | 557$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 198.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 73c | 168.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 164.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 26c | 161.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 27c | 137$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 32c | 96.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 26c | 93.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 34c | 70.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 27c | 63.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 27c | 58.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Cagliari vs. Parma end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.