TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c45,000$18,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,449.9917248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No59c28,050$16,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,500.59028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No57c10,576$6,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.365253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes42c7,955$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No57c6,345$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.5224145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes44c4,643$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0203145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed No59c3,380$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c3,248$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.639450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c3,043$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No59c2,563$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.715232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No54c2,523$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.1630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No78c2,095$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c2,005$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.33,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No59c1,315$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes46c1,035$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.6514244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7820255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c954.76$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40129545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes43c918$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.926035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No58c912.62$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.33141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No63c828.95$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.496250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes27c795.55$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No57c749.52$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.76544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes47c677$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.025141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes46c651.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No59c631.15$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.771926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff7…9834backed Yes49c601.45$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No59c567.2$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.559353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes43c513.95$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No58c510.9$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No57c503.65$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.572729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No59c499.95$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes43c467.56$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1646331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No59c388.49$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.283148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No59c356.17$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.039560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c336$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes36c331.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12911947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes48c271.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes32c260$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes48c255.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.64,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes42c239.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ae…3808backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes43c175.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes40c170.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1212551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No59c157.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5417155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes44c124.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.832740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No59c117.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.378961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.854946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes43c105.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.158939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes49c81.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes42c78.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf322…1cf1backed Yes45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9623…3e76backed Yes43c73.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5090…52d3backed Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes43c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed No60c63.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes42c59.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c58.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15f9…1d33backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689d…9b52backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…8675backed No59c50.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…b81ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No61c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.036753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No59c40.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53df…ab7abacked Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa194…aeafbacked Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No62c33.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.684156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a0f…37babacked Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470a…e537backed Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes38c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa590…663ebacked Yes47c27.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No63c26.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.