Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08a983e7aca5fd698df78094e404edf4ffc6bdda953aaed8883937b8f0c747b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 55,000$21,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,450 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 51c | 29,448$15,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,429.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 73c | 21,980$16,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 58c | 1,656$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,519$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 73c | 1,214$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 1,175$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 46c | 349.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 345.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 22c | 261.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 45.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 42c | 38.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…32a7backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.