College Football · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6159fa8860f3deb06fb9f5ba55e125dc141da3ea1736636c8507ada89866f1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof UTSA Roadrunners, North Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed North Texas | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 49,541$18,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,330.02 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked North Texas | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 4,586$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.76 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTSA Roadrunners | 41c | 4,479$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.24 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Texas | 63c | 2,687$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.3 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed North Texas | 63c | 2,269$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.53 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 2,000$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.51 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas | 56c | 1,985$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Texas | 56c | 1,923$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.87 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed North Texas | 60c | 536.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 36c | 511.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 7c | 483.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas | 76c | 384.86$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Texas | 61c | 360.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked North Texas | 63c | 299.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked North Texas | 63c | 249.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed North Texas | 62c | 148.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 13c | 109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 103.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UTSA Roadrunners | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas | 62c | 98.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 66.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked North Texas | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed North Texas | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed UTSA Roadrunners | 27c | 55.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 20c | 54.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…7d4abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 53.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed North Texas | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…bd69backed North Texas | 63c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…b072backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 45.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…9438backed North Texas | 63c | 41.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…62ecbacked North Texas | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…5f76backed North Texas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…3f15backed North Texas | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…4d77backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 38.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…4f41backed North Texas | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…6c72backed UTSA Roadrunners | 38c | 34.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked North Texas | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…6db4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked North Texas | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d96…fbe2backed North Texas | 63c | 26.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texasthis page
- Spread: North Texas (-4.5)North Texas won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas: O/U 65.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas: O/U 66.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.