College Football · resolved market
Northern Illinois vs. Ohio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ddfb9d5e99c78aa34e4ae5247b32ff4b4f20870ca17e47d097e48cfcd61f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohioof Northern Illinois, Ohio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $857,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Ohio | 80c | 534,458$426,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,116.04 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 200,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 118,888$24,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,077.6 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 87,324$18,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,047.67 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 23,882$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.22 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 22,878$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.51 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 21,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 19,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 12,770$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 12,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 5,048$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.61 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 3,450$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 1,910$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 1,340$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Illinois | 6c | 929.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Northern Illinois | 17c | 875$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ohio | 79c | 706.15$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 638$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Illinois | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Northern Illinois | 4c | 296.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 239.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Northern Illinois | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Northern Illinois | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Northern Illinois | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ohio | 78c | 127.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ohio | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 84.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Northern Illinois | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ohio | 79c | 64.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Ohio | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Ohio | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Northern Illinois | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…3f15backed Ohio | 80c | 33.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…4f41backed Ohio | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…7b41backed Ohio | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Ohio | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…065dbacked Ohio | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Ohio | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois vs. Ohiothis page
- Spread: Ohio (-10.5)Ohio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.