Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7797bca321ba926a61d4c129b7efee9699a9542aedfe6f92bb64fe7cfa065498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 1,388$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.18 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 42c | 893.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 40c | 498.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 496.05$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…f240backed Yes | 45c | 346.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 50c | 296$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 289$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 44c | 228.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 55c | 220.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 47c | 212.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 58c | 103.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 43c | 79.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 57c | 65.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 42c | 63.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 45c | 55.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d560backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…410bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…c623backed Yes | 46c | 43.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 29.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 57c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…e071backed Yes | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…6155backed Yes | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Mexico vs. Colombia end in a draw?No won
- Will Mexico win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.