Earnings · resolved market
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb61e7b29024c8cb1d6be1602c21e09832cb55db405e1c5f5850385abee8743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 33c | 249.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 49c | 203.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…ed36backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…681dbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 26c | 188.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 41c | 184.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…1b21backed Yes | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…a98fbacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 51c | 138.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 69c | 133.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 44c | 113.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 97.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 63c | 89.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…f078backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 74c | 53.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 65c | 42.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…7423backed Yes | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…8cc1backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…949ebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…769ebacked Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 61c | 20.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.