Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs. Garrett Johns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x314848f162255152d20f21211b349fc96a2c1de2161183ea410cf578c422aee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riediof Riedi, Johns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Riedi | 66c | 736.98$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Johns | 36c | 607.19$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Johns | 37c | 478.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Riedi | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Riedi | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Johns | 32c | 311.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Riedi | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Johns | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Riedi | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Riedi | 69c | 112.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Riedi | 68c | 103.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Riedi | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Riedi | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Riedi | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Johns | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Johns | 33c | 63.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Johns | 28c | 51.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Riedi | 63c | 34.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Riedi | 67c | 34.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Riedi | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Riedi | 69c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.