CS2 · resolved market
CS: Virtus pro vs Astralis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd3f8fdfd17879ec85f730ca750ab0bdd81f68fd7cebc042f3532182d7d1a61d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Virtus pro, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus pro | 28c | 3,836$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.14 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Virtus pro | 32c | 3,261$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.93 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 69c | 1,700$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Virtus pro | 31c | 1,134$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.52 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus pro | 16c | 1,093$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Virtus pro | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Astralis | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Astralis | 66c | 909$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Virtus pro | 26c | 891.18$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 67c | 699$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Virtus pro | 29c | 649.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Virtus pro | 33c | 570.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Astralis | 68c | 519.38$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Astralis | 67c | 412$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astralis | 70c | 366.87$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf543…b443backed Astralis | 70c | 355.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…1dbdbacked Astralis | 67c | 352.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus pro | 32c | 343.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Virtus pro | 27c | 320.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Virtus pro | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Astralis | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Astralis | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus pro | 17c | 270.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Astralis | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Virtus pro | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed Virtus pro | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked Astralis | 67c | 183.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…3ce9backed Astralis | 68c | 166.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Astralis | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…11d3backed Astralis | 68c | 129.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…edd6backed Astralis | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astralis | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Virtus pro | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Virtus pro | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Astralis | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Virtus pro | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Astralis | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Astralis | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked Astralis | 70c | 65.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus pro | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Astralis | 61c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Virtus pro | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Astralis | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Astralis | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Astralis | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Astralis | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Astralis | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Astralis | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.