College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. Army
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a06b56c418abc793e2045292b6707533aefd49c979bb75142f56204840b735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof North Texas, Army
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Army | 44c | 45,010$19,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,803.91 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed North Texas | 56c | 22,800$12,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed North Texas | 56c | 22,115$12,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,730.77 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Army | 14c | 6,170$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.77 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Army | 25c | 4,012$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.26 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Army | 44c | 3,779$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.12 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Army | 1c | 3,433$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Texas | 78c | 2,314$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.19 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Texas | 54c | 1,672$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.04 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Army | 44c | 1,613$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.95 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas | 53c | 1,496$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.71 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Army | 44c | 1,418$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.45 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed North Texas | 50c | 1,203$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.25 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Texas | 71c | 1,123$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Army | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed North Texas | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed North Texas | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed North Texas | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.28 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked North Texas | 64c | 913.08$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…737bbacked Army | 32c | 828.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas | 73c | 707.68$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Army | 45c | 659.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed North Texas | 53c | 567.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d3…3d25backed Army | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…3bd6backed North Texas | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Army | 43c | 440.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Texas | 71c | 440$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked North Texas | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas | 57c | 362.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed North Texas | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked North Texas | 59c | 339.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed North Texas | 66c | 303.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Army | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed North Texas | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked North Texas | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed North Texas | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked North Texas | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Army | 51c | 197.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed North Texas | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed North Texas | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked North Texas | 53c | 167.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed North Texas | 56c | 166.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Army | 6c | 163$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked North Texas | 56c | 143$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Texas | 54c | 132.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army | 15c | 125.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Army | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…d84ebacked Army | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Army | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed North Texas | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…fa89backed North Texas | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked North Texas | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Army | 51c | 93.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed North Texas | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Army | 44c | 88.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked North Texas | 73c | 78.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Army | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Army | 33c | 59.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Army | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked North Texas | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed North Texas | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Army | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Army | 52c | 36.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed North Texas | 55c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed North Texas | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked North Texas | 79c | 35.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked North Texas | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Army | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Army | 44c | 32.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…93f3backed North Texas | 54c | 28.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79b…a626backed Army | 47c | 28.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked North Texas | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…2aecbacked North Texas | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…dad2backed Army | 47c | 22.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…61ebbacked North Texas | 54c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.