College Football · resolved market
BYU vs. East Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c8a9859346e5fd092402a72ceb5d1192a2c7f9983aa88239459adf211c9569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked East Carolina | 22c | 8,972$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.91 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed BYU | 78c | 8,972$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed East Carolina | 28c | 3,289$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.2 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked East Carolina | 31c | 3,258$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.08 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked BYU | 69c | 2,430$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.27 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed BYU | 69c | 2,234$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.55 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed East Carolina | 27c | 1,485$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.73 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked East Carolina | 30c | 1,459$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed BYU | 69c | 1,227$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.47 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed BYU | 77c | 909.29$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU | 77c | 720.91$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed BYU | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed East Carolina | 25c | 365$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed East Carolina | 25c | 336.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked East Carolina | 33c | 306.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed East Carolina | 26c | 299$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed East Carolina | 31c | 294.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked East Carolina | 27c | 292.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked BYU | 70c | 281.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BYU | 76c | 238$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed East Carolina | 25c | 202.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed BYU | 75c | 198.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed BYU | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked East Carolina | 26c | 152.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed BYU | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BYU | 70c | 148.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed East Carolina | 27c | 146.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked BYU | 71c | 141.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed BYU | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed BYU | 68c | 121.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked BYU | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed East Carolina | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked BYU | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BYU | 75c | 99.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed BYU | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked East Carolina | 30c | 90.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked BYU | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…b5c7backed East Carolina | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed BYU | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked BYU | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked East Carolina | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked BYU | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed BYU | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed BYU | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…74ccbacked BYU | 70c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked BYU | 71c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…c8dfbacked BYU | 69c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked BYU | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed BYU | 76c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU vs. East Carolinathis page
- BYU vs. East Carolina: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: BYU (-6.5)BYU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.