NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x222f8ae3605a14868e09cddfb5f0e9bad3c3a804ebe846588804274aa0aad920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Jazz, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 13c | 12,660$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 17c | 11,716$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 16c | 8,126$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.43 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Jazz | 18c | 2,467$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Jazz | 20c | 1,380$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Jazz | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Jazz | 18c | 720$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jazz | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 19c | 500.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 18c | 472.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 465.4$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 15c | 391.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Jazz | 18c | 361.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Jazz | 17c | 319.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz | 10c | 280.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz | 16c | 229.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Jazz | 11c | 220.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Jazz | 17c | 217.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 23c | 217.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz | 15c | 210.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Jazz | 17c | 208$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz | 18c | 207.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz | 18c | 146$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Jazz | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2034backed Jazz | 18c | 108.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Jazz | 18c | 107.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Jazz | 23c | 107.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Jazz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Jazz | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Jazz | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Jazz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Jazz | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 62.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1fe8backed Jazz | 19c | 60.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…7b62backed Grizzlies | 78c | 29.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…8076backed Grizzlies | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…df89backed Grizzlies | 78c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7af8backed Grizzlies | 79c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…0314backed Grizzlies | 78c | 22.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…16d3backed Grizzlies | 77c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…e0bfbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…f59fbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…76a1backed Grizzlies | 78c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.