NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbfd1bc394df6357e3b764fe7711e8184ae51ab6ca4e326db1935a944f256b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Raptors | 16c | 30,498$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.41 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raptors | 17c | 13,948$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.15 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 17c | 13,723$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.88 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 18c | 10,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Raptors | 17c | 8,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…6063backed Raptors | 1c | 7,635$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Raptors | 19c | 5,125$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Raptors | 19c | 3,720$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 11c | 3,678$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Raptors | 5c | 3,628$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 19c | 3,312$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.41 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Raptors | 19c | 3,200$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raptors | 2c | 2,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Raptors | 23c | 2,631$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Raptors | 5c | 2,274$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Raptors | 17c | 2,205$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.84 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors | 10c | 2,188$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 18c | 2,147$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 17c | 2,069$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 15c | 1,800$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f8babacked Raptors | 19c | 1,648$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 2c | 1,634$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Raptors | 18c | 1,580$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Raptors | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Raptors | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Raptors | 7c | 1,497$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors | 8c | 1,097$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 17c | 1,095$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Raptors | 19c | 1,088$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 3c | 1,001$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Raptors | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Raptors | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…1a68backed Raptors | 8c | 897.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Raptors | 18c | 835.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 4c | 813.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 19c | 635$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Raptors | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 18c | 618.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 18c | 571.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Raptors | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…ac3dbacked Raptors | 19c | 526.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors | 17c | 499.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Raptors | 6c | 355.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…950fbacked Raptors | 11c | 342$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Raptors | 18c | 336.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Raptors | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Raptors | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Raptors | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 18c | 299.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Raptors | 21c | 286.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 19c | 267.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Raptors | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Raptors | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…920fbacked Raptors | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Raptors | 19c | 229.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Raptors | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Raptors | 13c | 189.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…4e93backed Raptors | 19c | 189.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked Raptors | 18c | 172.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…9e2ebacked Raptors | 8c | 160.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Raptors | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Raptors | 15c | 157.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Raptors | 16c | 149.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed Raptors | 18c | 149.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 15c | 134.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…f880backed Raptors | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Raptors | 10c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…9a97backed Raptors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Raptors | 18c | 104.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Raptors | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Raptors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…175cbacked Raptors | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…04c7backed Raptors | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Raptors | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Raptors | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…f6efbacked Raptors | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Raptors | 19c | 85.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Raptors | 18c | 82.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Raptors | 13c | 82.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Raptors | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…0ab8backed Raptors | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…5966backed Raptors | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Celtics | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Raptors | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a9…cbb8backed Celtics | 77c | 29.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…abf8backed Celtics | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…4c94backed Celtics | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…3269backed Celtics | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.