MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b73daff70e1db9077a62be4cc659a2ae0b7eb8117496c283be069a52e718f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof White Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5107…f1fdbacked White Sox | 38c | 9,998$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…0f5cbacked Astros | 62c | 9,988$6,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked White Sox | 0c | 6,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 80c | 4,002$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 11c | 3,957$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 1c | 3,725$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 79c | 3,386$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.78 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 35c | 2,500$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 39c | 1,522$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 2c | 1,352$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 38c | 1,273$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.65 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed White Sox | 2c | 1,140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox | 1c | 910$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed White Sox | 4c | 840.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 61c | 799.44$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 60c | 698.7$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Astros | 62c | 548$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 64c | 470.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 36c | 467.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 38c | 452.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 72c | 420.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed White Sox | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 38c | 399.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox | 11c | 317.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed White Sox | 23c | 313.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 62c | 266.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked White Sox | 39c | 231.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 62c | 206.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 39c | 176.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked White Sox | 39c | 171.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 32c | 169$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 76c | 160.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 70c | 155.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked White Sox | 25c | 149.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Astros | 62c | 137.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 38c | 133.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 61c | 122.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked White Sox | 39c | 118.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Astros | 61c | 117.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed White Sox | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked Astros | 61c | 109.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…2a5fbacked White Sox | 40c | 106.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox | 38c | 104.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Astros | 61c | 99.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Astros | 61c | 99.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…0c31backed White Sox | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 34c | 93.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed White Sox | 39c | 93.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…93e9backed Astros | 61c | 69.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Astros | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed White Sox | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…6424backed Astros | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked Astros | 62c | 61.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed White Sox | 40c | 55.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked White Sox | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Astros | 62c | 51.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Astros | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed White Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed White Sox | 39c | 48.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 38c | 46.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Astros | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed White Sox | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…c006backed White Sox | 39c | 37.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…7864backed Astros | 62c | 33.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked White Sox | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 62c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Astros | 61c | 32.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Astros | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Astros | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Astros | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Astros | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…b1b5backed Astros | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Astros | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…60d5backed Astros | 62c | 20.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…f60fbacked Astros | 63c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Astros | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b70…04b9backed Astros | 62c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Astros | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…67cabacked Astros | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.