TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$531,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$539,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Diamondbacks53c439,072$234,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204,494.0216643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox46c218,118$101,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,219.811,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox47c52,730$24,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,750.5986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked White Sox47c44,793$21,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,052.8250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed White Sox46c36,621$16,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,845.7717351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked White Sox47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox46c14,808$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,765.2241850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox46c12,746$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.2415553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox46c11,222$5,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.1260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox46c9,690$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.951,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox46c7,500$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48249250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox46c7,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2201,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox47c5,326$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.372,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed White Sox39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.91915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox26c4,891$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox47c4,341$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.371,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2728646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks53c2,496$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.1226453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox23c2,326$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks54c2,220$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.371,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…8d36backed White Sox42c2,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked White Sox48c2,085$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Diamondbacks52c2,061$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.9414444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c4…8c91backed White Sox42c1,976$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox46c1,637$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.1438047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox47c1,588$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3631346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Diamondbacks53c1,525$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox2c1,288$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8846631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks55c1,270$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Diamondbacks56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c77…b194backed Diamondbacks58c1,126$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed White Sox5c1,126$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked White Sox47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.087349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed White Sox48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6840352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked White Sox48c1,038$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2416747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1281…8cfabacked Diamondbacks58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5c…9038backed Diamondbacks58c1,017$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox2c1,016$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a1…ec5dbacked Diamondbacks54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Diamondbacks53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd31d…3e6abacked Diamondbacks58c942$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox24c905.97$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks56c902$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Diamondbacks54c792.16$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9619742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks54c741.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox46c628$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.61,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed White Sox43c579.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked White Sox43c549.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.985940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox3c546.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.118762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Diamondbacks56c546.25$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5314050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Diamondbacks43c530.47$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3719348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks53c524.53$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks54c521.16$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.735,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed White Sox2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Diamondbacks54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Diamondbacks54c461.06$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Diamondbacks55c451.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4923938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks55c444$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.71,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks54c430.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed White Sox48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17251151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Diamondbacks53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18820448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox31c344$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks54c324.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff3…2969backed White Sox42c268.6$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks54c255$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.317239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks55c245.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Diamondbacks53c222.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.543650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Diamondbacks59c213.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked White Sox47c200.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7331145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Diamondbacks53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9419849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox41c199.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1206…bbc7backed Diamondbacks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1931356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Diamondbacks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Diamondbacks59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4910041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18bc…e5b7backed Diamondbacks60c158.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.49560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks54c148.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.331,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks54c145.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox44c134.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.681,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks62c124.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.654,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks53c120.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.531,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Diamondbacks61c117.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.277142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed White Sox47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1724250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox30c106.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.152,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Diamondbacks53c102.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.816459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks77c97.82$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Diamondbacks55c91.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4211145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a00…c3cbbacked Diamondbacks55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Diamondbacks53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.317954.7%98 W · 81 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks59c77.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.