TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Rangers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Rangers49c28,259$13,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,814.3216643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pirates51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,25060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates36c5,508$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.0454051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rangers63c3,968$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8419650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates51c3,341$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.1799149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers49c3,012$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.552,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rangers47c2,633$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9925835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates51c2,534$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.6538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pirates52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers55c1,722$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.4854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates50c1,182$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.079,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers55c1,142$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.91,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates31c1,116$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.822,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers27c1,056$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.571,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates51c999.9$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers2c974.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5846631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Pirates57c712.95$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.573360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Pirates34c682.73$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.674748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates31c592.78$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rangers48c576.87$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.940152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers3c574.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.038762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pirates51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24595950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Pirates52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7718247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates29c479.1$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Rangers70c429.69$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.613256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers48c413.51$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rangers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers57c387$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7368769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Rangers48c321.85$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.493243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers36c321.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11752542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Pirates30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14714549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers59c249.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Rangers55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204055%22 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705a…1678backed Pirates56c194.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Pirates36c183.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1912335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Rangers54c172.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Rangers70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates50c126.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers50c126.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2630740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e3…96d1backed Rangers49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Rangers42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Rangers49c102.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Rangers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers63c99.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.791,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6032…f272backed Pirates52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates37c92.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates36c83.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.431,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…3487backed Rangers49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Rangers50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rangers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Rangers67c59.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0610858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pirates36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Rangers70c54.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8419849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Rangers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Rangers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2849…b009backed Pirates52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers48c45.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ce…4f07backed Rangers63c44.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1239…975dbacked Rangers51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc811…a5b9backed Rangers28c42.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Rangers50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Rangers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Rangers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Pirates52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467652.6%40 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Pirates50c36.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2366250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pirates48c32.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers48c31.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.884,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…1981backed Rangers52c28.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20e…01b6backed Rangers72c23.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Pirates55c20.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0737552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5b…c6b6backed Pirates50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca3…463cbacked Pirates50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b76…18a6backed Rangers70c18.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers65c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.056,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.