MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7009e17ba0559b2345cbc9bb51bfa9866fb56102c202e6430397f2bd57657e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Orioles | 40c | 26,759$10,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,776.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Yankees | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.83 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Orioles | 28c | 6,802$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Yankees | 61c | 6,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Yankees | 62c | 5,879$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 39c | 5,704$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 38c | 4,943$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.18 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 61c | 4,608$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 35c | 4,399$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.61 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 65c | 4,393$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.88 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…69b2backed Yankees | 61c | 3,993$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 72c | 3,976$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 39c | 3,360$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 38c | 3,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 70c | 2,429$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.82 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…c3cbbacked Yankees | 60c | 2,424$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…66f0backed Orioles | 40c | 2,420$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 60c | 2,207$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 62c | 2,150$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 38c | 2,106$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 60c | 1,668$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.37 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,576$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 78c | 1,334$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 40c | 1,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 3c | 1,113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Orioles | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 2c | 918.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Orioles | 27c | 846.59$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 60c | 799.98$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 1c | 785.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 37c | 673.17$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Yankees | 62c | 616.13$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yankees | 62c | 573.24$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Orioles | 39c | 502.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 39c | 439.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Orioles | 11c | 424.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 39c | 418$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Orioles | 28c | 317.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 14c | 314.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 38c | 312$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Orioles | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Orioles | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 40c | 263$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yankees | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yankees | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yankees | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yankees | 63c | 195.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yankees | 66c | 178.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 37c | 176.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yankees | 61c | 168.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yankees | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 58c | 134.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 39c | 132.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Yankees | 61c | 120.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Orioles | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Orioles | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Orioles | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…9bc7backed Orioles | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Orioles | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Orioles | 39c | 96.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Orioles | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yankees | 62c | 89.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 36c | 82.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yankees | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Orioles | 42c | 66.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Yankees | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Orioles | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…b900backed Orioles | 40c | 54.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…81d8backed Orioles | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yankees | 64c | 53.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…cc1cbacked Yankees | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Orioles | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Orioles | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Yankees | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…cacbbacked Yankees | 61c | 47.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 40c | 47.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…a785backed Orioles | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Orioles | 39c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yankees | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…faeabacked Yankees | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Orioles | 39c | 37.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.