Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Perricard vs. Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba864bb474f5eee00d434ab4f86051ef0e72e0bfd4660abe64127a7cb6221c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliassimeof Perricard, Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Aliassime | 61c | 8,713$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Perricard | 18c | 7,548$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.82 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Aliassime | 76c | 6,935$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.11 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Perricard | 39c | 4,290$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.9 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Perricard | 44c | 3,417$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Perricard | 46c | 2,515$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Aliassime | 60c | 1,674$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.34 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aliassime | 59c | 1,000$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.69 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Perricard | 45c | 855.36$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aliassime | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Perricard | 41c | 588.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Aliassime | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Perricard | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Aliassime | 60c | 487.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.93 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Aliassime | 55c | 397.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Aliassime | 61c | 328.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aliassime | 58c | 216.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aliassime | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aliassime | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Perricard | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…e3e6backed Perricard | 42c | 120.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Aliassime | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Perricard | 39c | 94.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aliassime | 56c | 81.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Aliassime | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Aliassime | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…13f5backed Perricard | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Aliassime | 60c | 36.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Aliassime | 61c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…04b1backed Aliassime | 58c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.