Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Fritz vs. Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5b88bfbedbdee46af90f17e1b404b2ea1126632faa7eda6ce627185dae7c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Fritz | 72c | 6,879$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Fritz | 71c | 6,648$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fonseca | 33c | 6,116$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fonseca | 27c | 3,462$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.04 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fonseca | 28c | 3,077$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.14 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fritz | 66c | 3,039$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.86 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fonseca | 28c | 2,590$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.1 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Fonseca | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Fonseca | 28c | 1,955$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 68c | 1,597$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.09 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fonseca | 32c | 1,498$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed Fritz | 65c | 1,436$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fonseca | 28c | 1,329$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.34 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Fonseca | 28c | 1,155$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Fonseca | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Fritz | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fonseca | 29c | 877.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Fritz | 64c | 817.75$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Fonseca | 21c | 714.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Fonseca | 19c | 710$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Fonseca | 31c | 585.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fritz | 64c | 573.43$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Fonseca | 30c | 482$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fonseca | 21c | 465.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fritz | 70c | 460.64$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Fonseca | 35c | 438.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Fonseca | 34c | 389.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Fritz | 66c | 294.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fritz | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Fritz | 71c | 233.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Fonseca | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fonseca | 34c | 187.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…d312backed Fonseca | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Fritz | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Fonseca | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Fonseca | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…fc8ebacked Fonseca | 33c | 87.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fonseca | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fritz | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 74c | 67.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…5f67backed Fonseca | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Fritz | 66c | 37.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Fritz | 76c | 33.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fritz | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Fritz | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Fritz | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Fritz | 70c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd197…9991backed Fritz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.