Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Sinner vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4a53cfcf71b1ef959dcbe86768ff8745e504df3e16eb8016bb5638718e6ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinner of Sinner , Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $696,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Bublik | 1c | 326,825$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Bublik | 5c | 55,555$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Bublik | 1c | 50,000$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bublik | 1c | 17,395$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bublik | 3c | 7,797$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Bublik | 5c | 5,878$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Bublik | 3c | 5,707$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bublik | 3c | 5,084$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…d08fbacked Bublik | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…3456backed Bublik | 5c | 4,979$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Bublik | 2c | 4,597$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Bublik | 4c | 3,465$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Bublik | 4c | 3,259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Bublik | 5c | 3,093$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bublik | 4c | 3,016$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bublik | 1c | 3,005$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bublik | 4c | 3,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bublik | 4c | 2,792$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…935cbacked Bublik | 6c | 2,694$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Bublik | 1c | 2,097$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Bublik | 2c | 2,038$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 4c | 2,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bublik | 5c | 2,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…27cbbacked Bublik | 5c | 1,977$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Bublik | 5c | 1,824$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…57bfbacked Bublik | 4c | 1,700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…e537backed Bublik | 4c | 1,604$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bublik | 4c | 1,402$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Bublik | 4c | 1,365$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…9f76backed Bublik | 2c | 1,256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Bublik | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…f930backed Bublik | 5c | 949.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…264fbacked Bublik | 5c | 890$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Bublik | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Bublik | 4c | 592.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…b4a6backed Bublik | 4c | 570$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…5172backed Bublik | 4c | 545.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Bublik | 3c | 524.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Bublik | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Bublik | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Bublik | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bublik | 5c | 326.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Bublik | 4c | 311.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…8341backed Bublik | 4c | 296.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5408…55d0backed Bublik | 5c | 254.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a88…dfe1backed Bublik | 4c | 234.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.