Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Nongshim Red Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087972699060529947cdc6827957cea95bf9f1394cf6130bc748e8b7cb233981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Lifeof Hanwha Life, Nongshim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x843d…e617backed Nongshim | 9c | 40,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nongshim | 9c | 17,140$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.27 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 9c | 13,001$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.65 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nongshim | 14c | 11,548$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.34 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked Nongshim | 11c | 10,513$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.38 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nongshim | 10c | 8,791$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.08 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Nongshim | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Nongshim | 7c | 3,398$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nongshim | 8c | 2,576$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Nongshim | 11c | 2,170$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 9c | 1,873$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Nongshim | 21c | 1,655$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Nongshim | 7c | 1,150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim | 11c | 1,110$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim | 13c | 1,077$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Nongshim | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Nongshim | 11c | 953.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nongshim | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…7047backed Nongshim | 11c | 888.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +124%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Nongshim | 12c | 750$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nongshim | 7c | 679$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Nongshim | 6c | 523.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed Nongshim | 13c | 464$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 11c | 414.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nongshim | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim | 9c | 391$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Nongshim | 6c | 360$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…cd68backed Nongshim | 9c | 320$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…1bafbacked Nongshim | 10c | 301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nongshim | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Nongshim | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Hanwha Life | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Nongshim | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…8805backed Nongshim | 18c | 180.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Nongshim | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Nongshim | 11c | 120.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.