MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1704a16bc88b8e5c9b56bb3f048364f5af51290ade876328474ffc8925211020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Baltimore Orioles, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 120,868$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,275.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 59,242$25,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,190.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…4cbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 31,940$16,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,011.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…dfcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 31,010$14,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,574.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 26,255$11,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,718.73 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 25,300$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.79 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 21,422$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.17 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 19,202$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 14,705$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 12,961$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 9,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 6,527$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.01 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 5,862$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.85 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Detroit Tigers | 78c | 4,598$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.37 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 3,314$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.35 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 3,133$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.94 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,852$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,851$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.9 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,508$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,437$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,409$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,349$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,287$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.44 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,260$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…3873backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 930$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 923 | 50.1%462 W · 461 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 403.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 369.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 318.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 303.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 204.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 154.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 143.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 112.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 93.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 54.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…cb52backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 54.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 30.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.