Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. ThunderTalk Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f144be83748eaede6b05ba4d8afc487851ad82c20e214b3edd4614a37ad901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, ThunderTalk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed ThunderTalk | 29c | 21,374$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.5 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 16,406$11,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.88 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk | 34c | 8,101$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.94 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed ThunderTalk | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed ThunderTalk | 48c | 3,904$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.44 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 2,467$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk | 25c | 1,994$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.29 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,805$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.35 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,626$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.86 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,061$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 940$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.8 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 317 | 61.5%195 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed ThunderTalk | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed ThunderTalk | 49c | 674$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 580.5$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 523.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed ThunderTalk | 20c | 486.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ThunderTalk | 47c | 443.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 347$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked ThunderTalk | 31c | 320.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 314.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed ThunderTalk | 47c | 306$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk | 45c | 296.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 294.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 256.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ThunderTalk | 32c | 250$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 217.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 215.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 213.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed ThunderTalk | 49c | 202.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked ThunderTalk | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 195$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 165.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 159$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed ThunderTalk | 45c | 155.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 153.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 139$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed ThunderTalk | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 134.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…234abacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 133.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 114.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 111.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed ThunderTalk | 49c | 88.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked LGD Gaming | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed ThunderTalk | 18c | 64.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked ThunderTalk | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed ThunderTalk | 40c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed ThunderTalk | 42c | 47.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…9908backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 47.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed ThunderTalk | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.