Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Korda vs. Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbe78d46504d5a109809865cd150289a055f0f5f53958e23a03d87410e1a39c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Korda, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Korda | 13c | 1,585$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Djokovic | 80c | 987.41$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Korda | 31c | 648.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Korda | 18c | 623.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Korda | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Korda | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Korda | 20c | 147.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Djokovic | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Korda | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Djokovic | 74c | 100.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Djokovic | 71c | 90.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Djokovic | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Djokovic | 79c | 75.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Djokovic | 70c | 69.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Djokovic | 77c | 46.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +110%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4187…8739backed Djokovic | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.