CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. M80
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e3cfce65b04131ce47d82c3eed49a03d4d2e73c2ce1a84ba6b31d3b2fb465a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed M80 | 5c | 6,620$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed M80 | 29c | 4,642$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.59 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 24c | 3,628$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.1 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vitality | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked M80 | 5c | 1,992$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Vitality | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed M80 | 22c | 1,230$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality | 65c | 1,228$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.32 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 14c | 1,124$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…e485backed M80 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed Vitality | 70c | 765.97$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed M80 | 15c | 600.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed M80 | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed M80 | 22c | 555$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked M80 | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed M80 | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Vitality | 39c | 414.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.27 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Vitality | 67c | 413.79$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked M80 | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Vitality | 70c | 378.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Vitality | 70c | 371.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed M80 | 32c | 315.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed M80 | 7c | 312.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked M80 | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked M80 | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Vitality | 70c | 286.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed M80 | 34c | 228.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked M80 | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Vitality | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked M80 | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Vitality | 71c | 199.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked M80 | 32c | 155.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed Vitality | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vitality | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Vitality | 69c | 131.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed M80 | 21c | 128.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked M80 | 9c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked M80 | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed M80 | 40c | 115.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Vitality | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed M80 | 36c | 92.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Vitality | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed M80 | 36c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked M80 | 24c | 72.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked M80 | 29c | 60.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed M80 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Vitality | 69c | 31.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Vitality | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Vitality | 70c | 24.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Vitality | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.