CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf026dbec4624f79a168fb97f0050a60fd48e35fbe0766f922cdd3ab29e577cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 23c | 2,026$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.01 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Lynn Vision | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 76c | 1,359$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 1,040$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Spirit | 80c | 1,010$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spirit | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 989.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 75c | 910$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 892.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 70c | 766.08$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Spirit | 75c | 599.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lynn Vision | 25c | 405.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Lynn Vision | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 360.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Spirit | 71c | 313$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 313$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Spirit | 80c | 305.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 18c | 274.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Lynn Vision | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 76c | 177.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Lynn Vision | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Lynn Vision | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed Spirit | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lynn Vision | 26c | 81.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked Spirit | 78c | 43.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Lynn Vision | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Spirit | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.