MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805bd2b39fa29a4783a34e9b6cd59f07b0f6fd6264a3b71e32aa249f1f7ecde4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8377…4198backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 7,560$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.75 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 7,399$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 6,709$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 5,191$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 3,323$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,629$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.92 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,350$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 2,100$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,808$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,412$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,230$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 877.31$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 848.08$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.14 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 825.97$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.82 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 600$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 360$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 294$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 221.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 212.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 208.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 185.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 178.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 104.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 94.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 82.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…e6a5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 45.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 38.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 37.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 32.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.