Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0efda699aa70fb687e3266ec2d2da4bf3e8d4a7c1bb196fe24a1d0ddb129ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommy Paulof Tommy Paul, Aleksandar Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 11,962$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Aleksandar Vukic | 8c | 8,822$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Aleksandar Vukic | 3c | 7,569$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 3c | 7,043$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.92 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 6,182$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…4683backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 3,390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 2,090$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 1,632$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 1,419$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 1,375$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 931.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 799.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 708.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 633.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 432.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 431$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 401.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 272.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 205.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 169.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 129.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aleksandar Vukic | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Aleksandar Vukicthis page
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.