Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4414a53e07abaebd3789d218158943eb8eaf22f10958efa401d6d7f05444af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 54c | 13,556$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 59c | 7,462$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.59 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…7ecabacked Yes | 44c | 7,172$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 64c | 1,684$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.27 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 57c | 1,684$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 1,453$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.62 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 43c | 1,389$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.78 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed Yes | 40c | 1,043$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 41c | 940.5$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 41c | 900.12$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.97 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 44c | 883.42$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 40c | 683.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…6afabacked Yes | 43c | 651.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 43c | 642.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 43c | 403.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…17b2backed Yes | 71c | 364.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed No | 10c | 342.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 57c | 253$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 12c | 244.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…517abacked No | 60c | 242.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ec75backed Yes | 43c | 201.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…95d3backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…ef8cbacked No | 60c | 182.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…bb50backed No | 60c | 176.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 58c | 151.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 150.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…e501backed Yes | 43c | 147.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…759abacked Yes | 45c | 146.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 28c | 142.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 14c | 133.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed Yes | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 43c | 104.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…a8cdbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…04d9backed Yes | 41c | 98.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 42c | 97.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…bef9backed Yes | 43c | 96.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…5f1abacked No | 59c | 93.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…7782backed Yes | 45c | 71.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…a40fbacked Yes | 43c | 68.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Yes | 51c | 68.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Yes | 52c | 63.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…f2c0backed Yes | 50c | 52.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 49c | 50.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 74c | 48.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…5ef7backed Yes | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…f082backed No | 60c | 46.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 72c | 37.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 42c | 35.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…a2e4backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bd…c0e7backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…eb35backed Yes | 59c | 34.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 43c | 29.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…8625backed No | 59c | 28.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…c7b6backed Yes | 45c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Yes | 43c | 24.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…f528backed Yes | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe1…0953backed No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Brighton?this page
- Will Brighton beat Tottenham?Yes won
- Will the match between Brighton and Tottenham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.