Premier League · resolved market
Will the match between Brighton and Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98bf170f7c6d6212e214e580a32bb32c47e5cedcf1f701ed7be3bae7667eba42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc675…a832backed Yes | 26c | 1,177$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 75c | 898.05$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 668.26$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc27…a69dbacked No | 77c | 641.7$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 606.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…f9c0backed No | 77c | 519.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 313.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 34c | 313.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed No | 64c | 287.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 75c | 231.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 75c | 161.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 21c | 142.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…a9a0backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 58.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…dea6backed No | 77c | 51.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…2f95backed Yes | 26c | 45.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…5f92backed No | 77c | 43.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…487bbacked No | 77c | 43.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Brighton and Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton beat Tottenham?Yes won
- Will Tottenham beat Brighton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.