Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Marton Fucsovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb600ddc6e2e9cac3a48c9f904de70da2530100cbb9c6c0ab60890cd92f71e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Runeof Rune, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Fucsovics | 31c | 51,995$16,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,038.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fucsovics | 0c | 28,806$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Rune | 64c | 17,379$11,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rune | 64c | 10,906$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rune | 65c | 8,218$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.94 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rune | 78c | 6,558$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Fucsovics | 33c | 3,420$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.2 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…3a5bbacked Rune | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rune | 64c | 3,053$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fucsovics | 38c | 2,328$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.65 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Rune | 67c | 2,323$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.17 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fucsovics | 32c | 2,221$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fucsovics | 34c | 2,216$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Fucsovics | 31c | 2,165$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Rune | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Rune | 73c | 1,526$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.73 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Rune | 65c | 1,064$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fucsovics | 34c | 866.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.42 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rune | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rune | 77c | 539$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Rune | 66c | 400.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rune | 63c | 318.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Fucsovics | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Rune | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fucsovics | 32c | 292.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Fucsovics | 15c | 242.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Rune | 66c | 227.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Rune | 66c | 201.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fucsovics | 34c | 179.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rune | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Rune | 67c | 153.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Rune | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Fucsovics | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rune | 67c | 130.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…8943backed Rune | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fucsovics | 29c | 109.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Rune | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Rune | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Fucsovics | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Fucsovics | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Fucsovics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Rune | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Fucsovics | 35c | 71.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fucsovics | 33c | 63.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Rune | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Rune | 67c | 60.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rune | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rune | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Rune | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Fucsovics | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Rune | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rune | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Rune | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…b2e1backed Rune | 66c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Rune | 67c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.