Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d58c9c50ea252944f9c6c87cd0c6e76b2814e8b0d4a3c726a3d8d0df66b61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof Nova Esports, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked TYLOO | 62c | 5,583$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.88 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TYLOO | 61c | 3,280$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 2,898$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nova Esports | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…9209backed Nova Esports | 37c | 1,257$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nova Esports | 39c | 1,188$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.16 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Nova Esports | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Nova Esports | 39c | 956.22$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…14b6backed TYLOO | 63c | 678$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…827abacked TYLOO | 63c | 579$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TYLOO | 58c | 568.55$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 42c | 429.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.21 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Nova Esports | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nova Esports | 33c | 349.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Nova Esports | 35c | 275.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked TYLOO | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Nova Esports | 42c | 228.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed TYLOO | 64c | 228.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…3937backed TYLOO | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked TYLOO | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed TYLOO | 61c | 164.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed TYLOO | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Nova Esports | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked TYLOO | 63c | 122.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed TYLOO | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…b187backed TYLOO | 61c | 82.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed TYLOO | 67c | 80.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Nova Esports | 31c | 64.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Nova Esports | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TYLOO | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…ea4abacked TYLOO | 67c | 52.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed Nova Esports | 41c | 43.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nova Esports | 37c | 43.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed TYLOO | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…baa6backed TYLOO | 61c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed TYLOO | 79c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Nova Esports | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Nova Esports | 34c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed TYLOO | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…539bbacked TYLOO | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed TYLOO | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…2efbbacked TYLOO | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed TYLOO | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked TYLOO | 69c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…1e8cbacked TYLOO | 65c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed TYLOO | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.