CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5482244c3ab527dc5b56996c327f89f7a1f132971cf1e03e371c8ccb6a3e5ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 72c | 4,544$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.88 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ECSTATIC | 29c | 3,454$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.32 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked ECSTATIC | 27c | 2,285$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.44 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed ECSTATIC | 28c | 1,619$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Team Falcons | 70c | 901.42$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed ECSTATIC | 27c | 728.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Team Falcons | 74c | 671.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 616.67$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ECSTATIC | 26c | 602.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 474.39$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked ECSTATIC | 38c | 422.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 410$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Team Falcons | 72c | 328.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Team Falcons | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 218.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 171.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Team Falcons | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…ee9abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 108.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ECSTATIC | 27c | 108.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 65.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons | 74c | 62.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…0375backed Team Falcons | 72c | 61.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ECSTATIC | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Team Falcons | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Team Falcons | 75c | 28.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.