CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c03ab925df4aacc2f7e8cb709c6b1b609650154a21d417b30a45b943359cbc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 23c | 5,279$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.05 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ECSTATIC | 0c | 4,508$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,271$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,514$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked ECSTATIC | 13c | 1,955$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed ECSTATIC | 19c | 1,538$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 1,148$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 1,001$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 659.53$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ECSTATIC | 24c | 628.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ECSTATIC | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ECSTATIC | 11c | 299.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 279.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ECSTATIC | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed ECSTATIC | 21c | 191$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 114.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…cf2fbacked ECSTATIC | 13c | 110.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed ECSTATIC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed ECSTATIC | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 62.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 54.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 50.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 80c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Team Falcons | 75c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.