CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df381fe05891373aa42ac4ffc45a6d01216e3cef5c76d969b3f8b4b903a7c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ECSTATIC | 8c | 19,512$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.55 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…b1aebacked ECSTATIC | 9c | 9,486$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…cf10backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 8,667$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 6,013$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.59 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 5,163$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 4,182$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.44 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed ECSTATIC | 4c | 3,995$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ECSTATIC | 9c | 3,616$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ECSTATIC | 5c | 3,558$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked ECSTATIC | 7c | 3,027$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ECSTATIC | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ECSTATIC | 4c | 1,910$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ECSTATIC | 7c | 1,874$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 1,794$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 1,661$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 1,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 1,134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…e272backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 990.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 899.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…d875backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 844.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ECSTATIC | 4c | 788.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 703.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 654.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 608.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 603.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed ECSTATIC | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 499.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 493.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 429.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ECSTATIC | 7c | 383.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ECSTATIC | 5c | 372$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed ECSTATIC | 6c | 370.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 367.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…1d27backed ECSTATIC | 6c | 360.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked ECSTATIC | 8c | 245.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…223bbacked ECSTATIC | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ECSTATIC | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked ECSTATIC | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 124.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…d075backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.