CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2ea88ca322706f89b43a6f7540433e1383ae054b4fed4617bfe969945d59b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ECSTATIC | 21c | 10,677$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.43 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ECSTATIC | 18c | 9,348$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.12 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 7,645$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.34 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed ECSTATIC | 25c | 6,021$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 5,061$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 4,474$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.54 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 4,291$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.28 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 3,522$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.4 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ECSTATIC | 16c | 2,757$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.35 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,745$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 1,091$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed ECSTATIC | 7c | 1,012$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ECSTATIC | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ECSTATIC | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked ECSTATIC | 2c | 799.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…dbfbbacked ECSTATIC | 10c | 671.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Team Falcons | 66c | 666$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons | 80c | 346.76$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 329$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed ECSTATIC | 12c | 309.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked ECSTATIC | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 253.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 250.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked ECSTATIC | 12c | 241.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked ECSTATIC | 17c | 238.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…3753backed ECSTATIC | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked ECSTATIC | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f80…ca30backed ECSTATIC | 16c | 121.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…60a9backed Team Falcons | 78c | 118.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked ECSTATIC | 16c | 114.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…734abacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 109.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 103.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed ECSTATIC | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Team Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ECSTATIC | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 70.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ECSTATIC | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 46.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…92f3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…a3edbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Team Falcons | 78c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.