CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ad3a46e726f51cf9632e0e4cdde322e38ea6fe96066e48d40afa02a114fb35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 21,700$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,897 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed KOLESIE | 59c | 21,700$12,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,897 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 11,515$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.45 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed KOLESIE | 62c | 5,000$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.4 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 4,826$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.91 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE | 66c | 3,968$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 3,810$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 1,744$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.71 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Eternal Fire | 4c | 1,647$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 1,129$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.42 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed KOLESIE | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed KOLESIE | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 743.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 257 | 33.9%87 W · 170 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked KOLESIE | 62c | 526.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 503$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 500.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Eternal Fire | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed KOLESIE | 70c | 422.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed KOLESIE | 77c | 399.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 330.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 328.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 285$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 261.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed KOLESIE | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed KOLESIE | 56c | 248.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire | 16c | 216.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed KOLESIE | 70c | 206.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 200.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 171.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…1852backed KOLESIE | 62c | 171.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 160.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked KOLESIE | 68c | 148.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed KOLESIE | 62c | 140.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked KOLESIE | 80c | 125.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed KOLESIE | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed KOLESIE | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…96e8backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 55.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed KOLESIE | 70c | 49.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked KOLESIE | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed KOLESIE | 58c | 45.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…35d8backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…b670backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KOLESIE | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…9608backed KOLESIE | 58c | 27.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed KOLESIE | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.