CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd553d4890bd9f8a4ef38e1712f38ca3568bb7bcb6dd4ac55836cd0d203ca3328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, EAC Rising
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked EAC Rising | 35c | 3,400$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.97 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed eSuba | 65c | 3,026$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.86 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked EAC Rising | 33c | 2,030$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.65 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed EAC Rising | 35c | 681.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed EAC Rising | 33c | 545$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed EAC Rising | 35c | 488.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked eSuba | 65c | 428.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked EAC Rising | 11c | 408.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked EAC Rising | 11c | 359.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed eSuba | 65c | 295.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed EAC Rising | 12c | 292.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eSuba | 66c | 274$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked eSuba | 66c | 257.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eSuba | 72c | 230.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eSuba | 66c | 197.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked EAC Rising | 29c | 197.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed eSuba | 68c | 186.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed eSuba | 65c | 153.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed eSuba | 65c | 153.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked eSuba | 71c | 152.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked EAC Rising | 9c | 147$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed EAC Rising | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked eSuba | 72c | 121.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EAC Rising | 19c | 120.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked EAC Rising | 14c | 116.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed eSuba | 72c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed EAC Rising | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed EAC Rising | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked eSuba | 75c | 99.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed eSuba | 71c | 96.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed eSuba | 79c | 95.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked eSuba | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked eSuba | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed eSuba | 70c | 80.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed eSuba | 74c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…923dbacked EAC Rising | 34c | 73.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked eSuba | 65c | 64.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked eSuba | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked eSuba | 72c | 53.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed eSuba | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked EAC Rising | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed EAC Rising | 35c | 43.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked eSuba | 65c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked EAC Rising | 36c | 32.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed eSuba | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed eSuba | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed eSuba | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed eSuba | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…9c86backed eSuba | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed eSuba | 65c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed eSuba | 70c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked eSuba | 69c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked eSuba | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising - Map 1 WinnereSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs EAC Rising (+1.5)eSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.