CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e84e094aa1dda807ed67b577d9e9438d5932689968eb412f3617332fa71594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, EAC Rising
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked EAC Rising | 28c | 1,570$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…de04backed EAC Rising | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed eSuba | 67c | 450$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed eSuba | 67c | 300.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed EAC Rising | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eSuba | 67c | 206.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eSuba | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed EAC Rising | 10c | 149.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked EAC Rising | 13c | 134.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed EAC Rising | 10c | 126.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed eSuba | 68c | 89.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked eSuba | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed eSuba | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed eSuba | 67c | 26.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked eSuba | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…d263backed eSuba | 67c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eSuba | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Group DeSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs EAC Rising - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs EAC Rising (+1.5)eSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.