CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Al Ahli - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b364bed14e26548ca89dfbcca29db3fe5e3fdb79fe50dfe3ae444c28be42c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ahliof JUMBO TEAM, Al Ahli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Al Ahli | 51c | 2,209$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.29 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked JUMBO TEAM | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Al Ahli | 50c | 656.88$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked JUMBO TEAM | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed JUMBO TEAM | 50c | 469.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed JUMBO TEAM | 50c | 291.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JUMBO TEAM | 5c | 270.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…6bedbacked Al Ahli | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JUMBO TEAM | 29c | 108.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked JUMBO TEAM | 60c | 84.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Al Ahli | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Al Ahli | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked JUMBO TEAM | 46c | 40.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed JUMBO TEAM | 50c | 35.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked JUMBO TEAM | 49c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Al Ahli | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Al Ahli - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Al Ahli (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsAl Ahli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.