CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0345ec39c00ec32f6d366a4f0b091cb87986e2160e00fd07d709fc9bd923b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked SPARTA | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 45c | 2,191$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked SPARTA | 51c | 1,570$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed SPARTA | 54c | 1,414$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Atreides | 40c | 1,265$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.71 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Atreides | 43c | 1,256$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Atreides | 48c | 1,189$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.27 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked SPARTA | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed SPARTA | 41c | 496.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.61 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 70c | 471$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed SPARTA | 59c | 427.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 54c | 421.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 42c | 418$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed SPARTA | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked SPARTA | 13c | 328.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 39c | 323$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked SPARTA | 34c | 287.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked SPARTA | 57c | 275.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SPARTA | 59c | 260.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 15c | 235.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed SPARTA | 51c | 235.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SPARTA | 57c | 231.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atreides | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Atreides | 45c | 224.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Atreides | 42c | 205.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed SPARTA | 61c | 195.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Atreides | 75c | 187.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed SPARTA | 54c | 183.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 70c | 182.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SPARTA | 57c | 178.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atreides | 41c | 178.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked SPARTA | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked SPARTA | 58c | 172.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atreides | 51c | 171.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed SPARTA | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 18c | 167.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Atreides | 43c | 146.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Atreides | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Atreides | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 34c | 114.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed SPARTA | 58c | 113.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 58c | 106.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atreides | 45c | 99.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SPARTA | 59c | 96.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Atreides | 73c | 96.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed SPARTA | 57c | 92.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed SPARTA | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Atreides | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atreides | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SPARTA | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SPARTA | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Atreides | 41c | 72.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed SPARTA | 60c | 66.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Atreides | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SPARTA | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed SPARTA | 57c | 52.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SPARTA | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Atreides | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Atreides | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atreides | 73c | 43.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed SPARTA | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed SPARTA | 39c | 37.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SPARTA | 43c | 30.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Atreides | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Atreides | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed SPARTA | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed SPARTA | 58c | 25.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Atreides | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed SPARTA | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Atreides | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed SPARTA | 59c | 17.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Atreides | 78c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.