CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b32dd428a195057d83a4ac80a342598d99ec3872ade7840507c9ea455396fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked SPARTA | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed SPARTA | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.74 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Atreides | 46c | 1,305$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.63 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 50c | 1,073$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 50c | 617.57$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 59c | 560.41$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Atreides | 79c | 508.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed SPARTA | 41c | 481.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 62c | 317.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 53c | 277$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 51c | 256$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Atreides | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 52c | 201$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 27c | 143.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 10c | 139.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Atreides | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 37c | 102.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 52c | 86.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked SPARTA | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 51c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…f885backed Atreides | 46c | 26.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Atreides | 58c | 20.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.