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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof MOUZ NXT, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6f8…7e78backed Lavked72c13,899$10,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT27c9,790$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Lavked66c5,000$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.55759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ NXT24c4,776$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.955,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lavked76c4,500$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08084454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT34c2,674$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9098,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Lavked77c2,586$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.0913343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT28c1,199$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.282,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT30c1,187$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.725,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT29c1,186$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.886,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT27c1,078$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.892,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT28c1,056$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.532,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT34c1,041$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.942,82937.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L-138.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked68c828.24$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.252,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT22c785.08$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.011,14354.9%628 W · 515 L+42.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ NXT32c709.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.351,51258.1%878 W · 634 L+67.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ NXT36c698.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MOUZ NXT8c657.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5597445.5%443 W · 531 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT29c642$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.995,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT24c563$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.843,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed MOUZ NXT14c536.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed MOUZ NXT33c531.23$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1848635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Lavked73c525.08$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.771,10151%561 W · 540 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Lavked68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.713938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f06…3905backed MOUZ NXT16c491.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lavked78c455.76$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.061,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ NXT14c438.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.461,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed MOUZ NXT32c431.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1520554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT34c415.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.961,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed MOUZ NXT25c400.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lavked78c365$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5838844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT30c361.61$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.194,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT30c358.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.175,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked MOUZ NXT30c352.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4522534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lavked71c323$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.821,81959%1,074 W · 745 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lavked78c319.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.412,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Lavked65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4824942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ NXT18c289.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061,63443.2%706 W · 928 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT28c280.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.674,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Lavked79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ NXT29c245.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.461,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed MOUZ NXT13c244.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.845923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT24c241.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.644,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT24c239.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62,56143.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Lavked68c237.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9238552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed MOUZ NXT39c233.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915628.6%16 W · 40 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT20c230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked MOUZ NXT28c225.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7826037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Lavked79c222.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9a…232dbacked MOUZ NXT12c220.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked MOUZ NXT27c220$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.67040%28 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked76c203.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Lavked69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Lavked74c197.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.476841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed MOUZ NXT28c188.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8687055.9%486 W · 384 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Lavked76c183.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0963454.6%346 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed MOUZ NXT24c178.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9523146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Lavked74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.234158.4%199 W · 142 L+22.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked MOUZ NXT37c168.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked MOUZ NXT27c168$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.839740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed MOUZ NXT37c164.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9224051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Lavked68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0614151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Lavked69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9333354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9f…3496backed Lavked67c136.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.14785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed MOUZ NXT37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9528148.4%136 W · 145 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed MOUZ NXT38c130.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.549964.6%64 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked71c126.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed MOUZ NXT31c124.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922955.5%127 W · 102 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked MOUZ NXT15c122.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT33c119.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.474,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT24c118.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.225,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lavked79c118.23$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2819850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed Lavked71c112.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.257164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked MOUZ NXT33c100.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3791648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed MOUZ NXT19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ NXT26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660938.3%233 W · 376 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed MOUZ NXT26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645945.1%207 W · 252 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT27c95.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Lavked68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0810545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Lavked76c83.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0845452.2%237 W · 217 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Lavked67c74.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7345450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Lavked62c72.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4122256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Lavked74c70.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3823158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MOUZ NXT28c68.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3964046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed MOUZ NXT25c66.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked MOUZ NXT25c65.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6720544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d4…2e6cbacked MOUZ NXT32c61.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Lavked77c61.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0425239.7%100 W · 152 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ NXT26c61.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.812,07154%1,119 W · 952 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked MOUZ NXT33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT30c58.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Lavked74c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0870732.1%227 W · 480 L-45.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed MOUZ NXT33c55.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.347045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked MOUZ NXT27c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5830031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed MOUZ NXT29c52.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.955139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Lavked69c50.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.575466.7%36 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1657…c083backed MOUZ NXT33c49.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Lavked61c47.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.567944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Lavked64c44.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8717257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.