CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba0b89a0253446b25b264ea46e3b60e2174d412545126f1d9f34803850b1b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 27c | 1,082$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Acend | 38c | 665.83$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 62c | 599.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 64c | 491.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 69c | 478.79$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked BIG | 77c | 354.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Acend | 21c | 348.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Acend | 21c | 299.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed BIG | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 39c | 248.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 73c | 235.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Acend | 25c | 234.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 72c | 207.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Acend | 16c | 199.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked BIG | 75c | 194.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked BIG | 79c | 187.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Acend | 24c | 160.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Acend | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed BIG | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked BIG | 79c | 124.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…8d6fbacked BIG | 79c | 123.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed BIG | 64c | 111.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Acend | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…e6d5backed BIG | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked BIG | 74c | 97.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…fa12backed BIG | 78c | 89.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed BIG | 78c | 88.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked BIG | 79c | 78.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Acend | 38c | 76.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Acend | 21c | 74.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Acend | 25c | 73.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Acend | 27c | 72.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Acend | 22c | 70.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Acend | 27c | 69.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked BIG | 75c | 67.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Acend | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…af28backed BIG | 79c | 50.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Acend | 38c | 49.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Acend | 26c | 48.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Acend | 25c | 46.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Acend | 25c | 46.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked BIG | 72c | 43.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Acend | 28c | 36.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…ad5abacked BIG | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed BIG | 70c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked BIG | 80c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked BIG | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…dd00backed BIG | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BIG | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BIG | 75c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked BIG | 80c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…5191backed BIG | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.