CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9764b9512e70ddb1f25ec9eacc5efb20db32297db04c2bf54b5b1dcbfe94898d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Ursa | 68c | 3,324$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.18 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.38 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Bebop | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Bebop | 25c | 926.54$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.38 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 32c | 817.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Bebop | 51c | 634.62$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.05 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Ursa | 44c | 476.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.58 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 39c | 429.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 48c | 354.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Bebop | 33c | 318.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Ursa | 67c | 309.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 65c | 231$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Bebop | 78c | 144.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Bebop | 69c | 141.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 54c | 117.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Bebop | 37c | 87.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…2ceabacked Bebop | 80c | 74.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bebop | 38c | 62.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Ursa | 29c | 59.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Bebop | 38c | 57.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa | 37c | 48.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Ursa | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…5649backed Ursa | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Ursa | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Ursa | 60c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Ursa | 68c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.